Florida State University’s COAPS (Center for Ocean-Atmospheric Prediction Studies) says that hurricane season 2007, which ends November 30th, is looking well below normal, in fact they are calling it “historic inactivity”.
This is not that surprising to me. What’s really worrisome is that the predictions for the last 2 years were all totally and completely wrong. Check these out:
“So far there is not a lot of information nor many predictionss on what to expect for the 2006 hurricane season, however, if we are in the middle of a long-term upswing in activity, expect another busy year.All the experts who have weighed in so far seem to think we will have another busy year. All the predictions are higher than corresponding predictions from 2005, it is worthwhile noting, but no one is predicting a season as busy as 2005.”FEMA:
“The 2007 hurricane season starts in a couple of weeks, and forecasters say this hurricane season could be nearly as destructive as 2005, the worst on record. FEMA is reminding everyone to begin their emergency preparations now.”
It’s a fluke you say. I just wonder how scientists can be so confident that their long term conclusions are so much better and more reliable than their “shorter” term ones.
Maybe the hurricanes are all scared of Al Gore. Or maybe I am just a blind right winger who sees conspiracies everywhere, who knows.
All I know is that these scientists definitely don’t have a clue.